South Asian and East Asian economic integration and Australia: strategies for Asian regional cooperation. Australia has a vital interest in India's rise, its impact on South Asia's development and its integration with South and East Asia. The limited knowledge and the thinness of the intellectual base and institutional connections that would allow us to manage our interests in this event effectively mean that Australia is not yet well positioned to influence the forces and the thinking that will ....South Asian and East Asian economic integration and Australia: strategies for Asian regional cooperation. Australia has a vital interest in India's rise, its impact on South Asia's development and its integration with South and East Asia. The limited knowledge and the thinness of the intellectual base and institutional connections that would allow us to manage our interests in this event effectively mean that Australia is not yet well positioned to influence the forces and the thinking that will drive the process. Moving to explore the phenomenon of South Asia's development and aspirations in Asia and globally, is now a priority for Australia as other economies move to take up the opportunities that are unfolding from this development. This is a ground-breaking project that will address these deficiencies.Read moreRead less
China's Industrialisation and Demand for Energy and Minerals. Understanding China's medium and long-term growth prospects and the implications for both demand and supply of resources are critically important to Australian economic policy and performance, as well as to investment decisions of Australian resource producers, and professional decisions of Australians in a wide range of occupations. Analysis of the medium and long-term demand for resources from China would be beneficial for Australia ....China's Industrialisation and Demand for Energy and Minerals. Understanding China's medium and long-term growth prospects and the implications for both demand and supply of resources are critically important to Australian economic policy and performance, as well as to investment decisions of Australian resource producers, and professional decisions of Australians in a wide range of occupations. Analysis of the medium and long-term demand for resources from China would be beneficial for Australian resource industries. It is also important to Australian budget, education and infrastructure policy. Increasing Chinese demand for resources will be critical in shaping global environmental policies.Read moreRead less
Economic Growth and Real Exchange Rates. Exchange rate movements are important elements of Australia's economic environment. Protectionist interests in the US and Europe, constrained by WTO trade rules, accuse East Asian economies of deliberate undervaluation. While exchange rate movements are not readily predictable in the short run, long run changes in underlying real exchange rates are amenable to economic analysis using structural models. The clearer understanding of these forces, toward ....Economic Growth and Real Exchange Rates. Exchange rate movements are important elements of Australia's economic environment. Protectionist interests in the US and Europe, constrained by WTO trade rules, accuse East Asian economies of deliberate undervaluation. While exchange rate movements are not readily predictable in the short run, long run changes in underlying real exchange rates are amenable to economic analysis using structural models. The clearer understanding of these forces, toward which this project is directed, will better guide investment in the region, including in Australia, and more importantly, it will better inform future policy debates surrounding currency movements.Read moreRead less
Setting Priorities for Services Trade Reform. Services could be a deal maker in the Doha Round of trade negotiations, and Australia has much to gain if developing countries can be persuaded to make commercially meaningful commitments to liberalise services trade. Australia will also gain if the economies of the region are strengthened through regulatory reform. And Australia can gain from further regulatory reform at home. To these ends, the project will provide new understanding of regulatory b ....Setting Priorities for Services Trade Reform. Services could be a deal maker in the Doha Round of trade negotiations, and Australia has much to gain if developing countries can be persuaded to make commercially meaningful commitments to liberalise services trade. Australia will also gain if the economies of the region are strengthened through regulatory reform. And Australia can gain from further regulatory reform at home. To these ends, the project will provide new understanding of regulatory best practice that will reveal the priorities for services trade reform. Read moreRead less
Sins of the Fathers - The Role of Reputation in Capital Market Integration and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime. This project investigates, theoretically and empirically, how past and present reputation for monetary policy credibility influences a country's choice of exchange rate regime and its ability to borrow internationally in domestic currency. The inability of emerging market countries to borrow in domestic currency is an important source of global financial instability, and the study c ....Sins of the Fathers - The Role of Reputation in Capital Market Integration and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime. This project investigates, theoretically and empirically, how past and present reputation for monetary policy credibility influences a country's choice of exchange rate regime and its ability to borrow internationally in domestic currency. The inability of emerging market countries to borrow in domestic currency is an important source of global financial instability, and the study contributes to an understanding of how policymakers can better facilitate the process of international financial integration. By introducing new advances in the theory of reputation into models of exchange rate crises and examining lessons from Australian financial history, the research brings a fresh perspective to existing analyses of financial crises.Read moreRead less
Climate Change Projections and Policy Design Under Uncertainty. The issue of climate change and policy responses is one of the most important questions facing the world today. This research develops a global framework for understanding the many complexities surrounding this issue, for undertaking projections of emissions, for evaluating alternative policy proposals and for developing new policies. In particular it will provide a framework for undertaking alternative scenarios about future econom ....Climate Change Projections and Policy Design Under Uncertainty. The issue of climate change and policy responses is one of the most important questions facing the world today. This research develops a global framework for understanding the many complexities surrounding this issue, for undertaking projections of emissions, for evaluating alternative policy proposals and for developing new policies. In particular it will provide a framework for undertaking alternative scenarios about future economic growth and carbon emissions and attempt to quantify uncertainties. It will also focus on major developing countries such as China and India which will be critical in the future evolution of world economic activity and greenhouse emissions.Read moreRead less
Higher order moment contagion testing: implications of the US subprime mortgage crisis for Australia. Even though crises are usually short lived, the long term implications of changes in asset values may be profound, particularly for superannuation assets. Implications of financial crises are also profound for institutions such as the RBA who change policy to achieve domestic objectives. The understanding of how internationally based financial crises affect Australia is important particularly wh ....Higher order moment contagion testing: implications of the US subprime mortgage crisis for Australia. Even though crises are usually short lived, the long term implications of changes in asset values may be profound, particularly for superannuation assets. Implications of financial crises are also profound for institutions such as the RBA who change policy to achieve domestic objectives. The understanding of how internationally based financial crises affect Australia is important particularly when domestic inflationary pressures would appear to precipitate the need for the RBA to take the opposite policy stance to that prevalent of central banks internationally. This proposal highlights these relationships to provide insights into portfolio allocation decisions and provides information to facilitate well founded decisions by policy makers.Read moreRead less