'Fixed points': extending and deepening our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. This work will extend and deepen our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. It will produce computer code embodying new methods of solving systems of nonlinear equations, which is useful in many areas of applied research in economics, in other disciplines such as chemistry, and potentially in the analysis of business operations. The project will a ....'Fixed points': extending and deepening our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. This work will extend and deepen our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. It will produce computer code embodying new methods of solving systems of nonlinear equations, which is useful in many areas of applied research in economics, in other disciplines such as chemistry, and potentially in the analysis of business operations. The project will also deepen our understanding of the underlying mathematics of such systems, and of other mathematical foundations of economic research. One application will be a new measure of the relative power resulting from voting rules. Such measures assist the design of democratic institutions by allowing the designer to assess the fairness of the outcomes they produce.Read moreRead less
Modelling the APEC Digital Divide. Study of private sector motivation for the uptake of ICT is helpful in formulating regulatory and commercial responses to foster growth of competitive information-using and information-producing industries. The project will help clarify the relative benefits of production and use of ICT. Additionally, in an APEC context, analysis of the digital divide will inform policy appropriate to enhancing Australia's contribution to the region. The general purpose infor ....Modelling the APEC Digital Divide. Study of private sector motivation for the uptake of ICT is helpful in formulating regulatory and commercial responses to foster growth of competitive information-using and information-producing industries. The project will help clarify the relative benefits of production and use of ICT. Additionally, in an APEC context, analysis of the digital divide will inform policy appropriate to enhancing Australia's contribution to the region. The general purpose information technology of the Internet network is fast evolving into the enabling technology of choice for innovation and creative applications of a platform for communication and electronic transactions.Read moreRead less
A New Paradigm of Financial Market Behaviour. The project contributes to the development of a newly emerging paradigm for describing financial market behaviour. It will model financial markets as adaptively evolving systems that are the outcome of the interaction of boundedly rational economic agents with heterogeneous beliefs. The new paradigm will seek to explain aspects of financial market behaviour not well explained by the standard finance paradigm. The project outcomes will be of benefit ....A New Paradigm of Financial Market Behaviour. The project contributes to the development of a newly emerging paradigm for describing financial market behaviour. It will model financial markets as adaptively evolving systems that are the outcome of the interaction of boundedly rational economic agents with heterogeneous beliefs. The new paradigm will seek to explain aspects of financial market behaviour not well explained by the standard finance paradigm. The project outcomes will be of benefit to financial market researchers and regulators by providing a better framework for understanding and managing financial market volatility.Read moreRead less
Strategic Thought and Prediction in Strategic Environments. Game theory is now an integral tool for economics and business. It helps predict behavior in strategic environments and thus answers important questions: What form of auction to use in the pending sale of 3G spectrum? How should the government sell its bonds? How to detect implict collusion among companies? What division of benefits of joint research ventures will attract maximum participation?
This project aims to greatly increas ....Strategic Thought and Prediction in Strategic Environments. Game theory is now an integral tool for economics and business. It helps predict behavior in strategic environments and thus answers important questions: What form of auction to use in the pending sale of 3G spectrum? How should the government sell its bonds? How to detect implict collusion among companies? What division of benefits of joint research ventures will attract maximum participation?
This project aims to greatly increase the predictive power of game theory and provide decisive answers to questions such as above. This is achieved by developing a theory that relates individuals' current behavior to their experiences in analogous environments in the past.
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Market Contingent Hierarchies: Theory and Evidence. Operating in a small open economy trying to pursue an export-led strategy for economic growth, Australian firms are increasingly exposed to the types of market uncertainties that are the subject of this project. Australian firms cannot rely on economies of scale developed through large domestic markets but must instead depend on innovation and organisational nimbleness to exploit opportunities as they appear. This project will develop and test ....Market Contingent Hierarchies: Theory and Evidence. Operating in a small open economy trying to pursue an export-led strategy for economic growth, Australian firms are increasingly exposed to the types of market uncertainties that are the subject of this project. Australian firms cannot rely on economies of scale developed through large domestic markets but must instead depend on innovation and organisational nimbleness to exploit opportunities as they appear. This project will develop and test with Australian data the organisational theories necessary for the international success of Australian firms. Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE120102640
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$375,000.00
Summary
Behavioural foundations of economic design for an uncertain world. The aim of this project is to incorporate behavioural foundations into mechanism design to improve our understanding of economic institutions in incomplete information environments. To accomplish this goal, it considers a framework where agents have reference-dependent preferences and explores implications of this assumption for economic design.
Legitimacy and representation: A comprehensive study of electoral systems and strategic voting behaviour. What makes a good electoral system? How can it reflect the preference of the majority while guaranteeing representation to minorities? Should voting be voluntary or mandatory? These are very relevant questions for any democracy, but particularly so for Australia: a country which has always been at the forefront of the electoral debate, that proudly strives to represent with fairness all sect ....Legitimacy and representation: A comprehensive study of electoral systems and strategic voting behaviour. What makes a good electoral system? How can it reflect the preference of the majority while guaranteeing representation to minorities? Should voting be voluntary or mandatory? These are very relevant questions for any democracy, but particularly so for Australia: a country which has always been at the forefront of the electoral debate, that proudly strives to represent with fairness all sectors of its very diverse society and where voting is not only a citizen's right, but also her duty. By approaching these issues in a game theoretic framework, this project proposes to investigate the strategic nature of voting through a comprehensive study of electoral systems. The project will then test our theoretical predictions through a series of laboratory experiments. Read moreRead less
Massively parallel algorithms for Bayesian inference and decision making. This project uses the graphical processing units of desktop computers, originally developed for games and video, to enhance substantially the quantitative tools used on a daily basis by economists. It will develop procedures and software to enhance the reliability of economic predictions and policy.
New models and valuation methods for portfolio credit derivatives. Portfolio credit derivatives provide a mechanism to simultaneously transfer credit exposures to a large number of counterparties within a single transaction. However, no generally accepted valuation model for such credit portfolios is currently available. This project aims to develop new mathematically-based technologies to allow institutions such as Westpac (the Industry Partner) to optimally manage their credit exposures. The o ....New models and valuation methods for portfolio credit derivatives. Portfolio credit derivatives provide a mechanism to simultaneously transfer credit exposures to a large number of counterparties within a single transaction. However, no generally accepted valuation model for such credit portfolios is currently available. This project aims to develop new mathematically-based technologies to allow institutions such as Westpac (the Industry Partner) to optimally manage their credit exposures. The outcome will be a class of superior models and operational risk management tools that will ensure the value and risks of these transactions are properly understood and accurately quantified. These models will enhance both the knowledge base of the industry and academic scholarship.
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Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130101768
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$368,777.00
Summary
Bank regulation: the implications of interconnectedness and adaptive behaviour. People often use rules of thumb in deciding which actions to take. By modelling people in this way this project seeks to determine the effects that different forms of bank regulation have in determining the frequency and scale of banking crises.