Economic consequences for Australia of global demographic change. In addition to addressing the economic implications of declining fertility and mortality in Australia this study will analyse major changes in demographic behaviour in regions on which Australia's economic health depends and the consequent changes in the flow of migrants into Australia. A new mathematical model of global population change will be integrated into the standard GTAP-dynamic model of global economic performance to pr ....Economic consequences for Australia of global demographic change. In addition to addressing the economic implications of declining fertility and mortality in Australia this study will analyse major changes in demographic behaviour in regions on which Australia's economic health depends and the consequent changes in the flow of migrants into Australia. A new mathematical model of global population change will be integrated into the standard GTAP-dynamic model of global economic performance to provide a useful tool for future analysis of Australia's population and economic policies. The analysis will contribute to policy development and the models will be widely available to policy institutions for their use.Read moreRead less
Temporary Migration To and From Australia: Changing Patterns, Causes and Implications. As is the case in other traditional migration countries, Australian international migration is undergoing a paradigmatic shift whereby temporary migrations are assuming unprecedented scale and diversity. However the bulk of immigration research in Australia remains locked in to an earlier paradigm in which permanent settlement was dominant. This study analyses the nature of the temporary flows and the forces ....Temporary Migration To and From Australia: Changing Patterns, Causes and Implications. As is the case in other traditional migration countries, Australian international migration is undergoing a paradigmatic shift whereby temporary migrations are assuming unprecedented scale and diversity. However the bulk of immigration research in Australia remains locked in to an earlier paradigm in which permanent settlement was dominant. This study analyses the nature of the temporary flows and the forces driving them with a view to developing more contemporarily relevant theory to explain them. It assesses the demographic, social and economic impacts of temporary migration and draws out the policy implications in the Australian context.Read moreRead less
Socio-economic determinants of future fertility trends in Australia and other developed countries. Future demographic trends will do much to determine Australia's future. Fertility levels will dominate in deciding population numbers, age structure, and the optimum balance between natural increase and immigration. Current ARC-supported research on the theory of demographic transition provides a paradigm for forecasting likely trends, especially when employed with an existing data bank of findings ....Socio-economic determinants of future fertility trends in Australia and other developed countries. Future demographic trends will do much to determine Australia's future. Fertility levels will dominate in deciding population numbers, age structure, and the optimum balance between natural increase and immigration. Current ARC-supported research on the theory of demographic transition provides a paradigm for forecasting likely trends, especially when employed with an existing data bank of findings on social and demographic interrelations. The research is of great national benefit because even small differences in age structure will impact significantly on the size of the labour force, health services, the support of the aged and taxation levels. Relevant policy decisions will need to be made in the near future.Read moreRead less
Rural Migrant Labour in Large Chinese Cities. China's economic and political significance globally, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, can hardly be exaggerated. China is increasing rapidly in its importance to Australia as a trading partner, source of immigrants and tourists and as a power in Australia's region of influence. The rapid growth of Chinese cities is a critical element in its striking social and economic development and a deeper understanding of this will contribute to Austral ....Rural Migrant Labour in Large Chinese Cities. China's economic and political significance globally, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, can hardly be exaggerated. China is increasing rapidly in its importance to Australia as a trading partner, source of immigrants and tourists and as a power in Australia's region of influence. The rapid growth of Chinese cities is a critical element in its striking social and economic development and a deeper understanding of this will contribute to Australia enhancing economic, social and political linkages with China. It also will develop Australian capacity with respect to Chinese research and develop strong academic linkages with China.Read moreRead less
Housing affordability: the use and misuse of reverse mortgages by older households. Many retirees are without compulsory superannuation although daily living costs have risen substantially. As additional workers in the 'baby boom' generation retire and less tax will be paid to the government, it appears there will be increasing pressure placed on the pension system. A large proportion of the population may struggle to enjoy a fulfilling retirement and be drawn towards a reverse mortgage, which ....Housing affordability: the use and misuse of reverse mortgages by older households. Many retirees are without compulsory superannuation although daily living costs have risen substantially. As additional workers in the 'baby boom' generation retire and less tax will be paid to the government, it appears there will be increasing pressure placed on the pension system. A large proportion of the population may struggle to enjoy a fulfilling retirement and be drawn towards a reverse mortgage, which in turn may be misunderstood. With an increasing proportion of older residents leaving the workforce, the community would be adversely affected if this cohort required government financial assistance due to the misuse of home equity loans.Read moreRead less
Indonesian young adults facing the future. While much Indonesian research has focused on adolescent issues, young adults, those aged 20-34, the largest generation in Indonesian history, have been largely ignored both by researchers and policy makers. As the vanguard generation in Indonesia's new democratic, economic and cultural future, this generation's successful transition to adulthood is crucial. Research findings will engage the attention of key policy makers in Indonesia, many of whom are ....Indonesian young adults facing the future. While much Indonesian research has focused on adolescent issues, young adults, those aged 20-34, the largest generation in Indonesian history, have been largely ignored both by researchers and policy makers. As the vanguard generation in Indonesia's new democratic, economic and cultural future, this generation's successful transition to adulthood is crucial. Research findings will engage the attention of key policy makers in Indonesia, many of whom are parents of the study generation. The researchers have been working in this policy arena for over two decades. Indonesia's social, economic, religious and cultural stability will contribute to Australia's future and security.Read moreRead less
Below replacement fertility among Indigenous Australians: Course, Causes and Regional Variations. This research will enhance the knowledge base on Indigenous Australian fertility and provide a timely contribution to current debate about the social and economic consequences of low fertility and ageing. By engaging an early career researcher and an Indigenous research student, it will expand Australia's research capability on current and future Indigenous population dynamics in what has become a ....Below replacement fertility among Indigenous Australians: Course, Causes and Regional Variations. This research will enhance the knowledge base on Indigenous Australian fertility and provide a timely contribution to current debate about the social and economic consequences of low fertility and ageing. By engaging an early career researcher and an Indigenous research student, it will expand Australia's research capability on current and future Indigenous population dynamics in what has become a neglected area of research. It will ensure that full use is made of public expenditure on the collection of Indigenous social and demographic data. By extending linkages with researchers internationally, it will place Australia at the forefront of global efforts to understand Indigenous demographic transition.Read moreRead less
Interactive Demographic Transition: Analysis and Theory. The demographic transition, or decline in mortality and fertility levels to produce the modern small family and normally long-lived individuals, may well be the most important social change of our time. It has occasioned much research but theory is still in disarray. This is at least partly explained by a disregard for feed-back mechanisms in the form of organized movements supporting and opposing such demographic change. My aim is to r ....Interactive Demographic Transition: Analysis and Theory. The demographic transition, or decline in mortality and fertility levels to produce the modern small family and normally long-lived individuals, may well be the most important social change of our time. It has occasioned much research but theory is still in disarray. This is at least partly explained by a disregard for feed-back mechanisms in the form of organized movements supporting and opposing such demographic change. My aim is to reanalyze data from my own and others? work, taking such interactions into account, to produce a demographic transition theory suited both to historical explanation and the guidance of contemporary policy.Read moreRead less
Consuming the Urban Environment . A Study of the Factors that Influence Resource Use in Australian Cities. This project is the first study which aims to quantify how much of Australia's accelerating total consumption is designed into our cities and housing and how much is related to a household's discretionary behaviour and the sets of attitudes and values that drive it.The resulting knowledge will provide an evidence-based platform - that is currently lacking - for policy and program developmen ....Consuming the Urban Environment . A Study of the Factors that Influence Resource Use in Australian Cities. This project is the first study which aims to quantify how much of Australia's accelerating total consumption is designed into our cities and housing and how much is related to a household's discretionary behaviour and the sets of attitudes and values that drive it.The resulting knowledge will provide an evidence-based platform - that is currently lacking - for policy and program development by all tiers of government and industry to target areas where resource consumption can be effectively and equitably wound back. Key groups for influence include: individual consumers and households, housing designers (in relation to density, materials, appliances planners of urban communities(eg. public transport,level of land use mix).Read moreRead less
Circular Migration in Asia, the Pacific and Australia: Empirical, Theoretical and Policy Dimensions. Few issues have been more significant in contemporary Australia than international migration. It is of fundamental importance to Australia's future as it faces the global economic downturn, ageing, climate change and an ever-changing relationship with its Asia-Pacific neighbours. In the past Australia's migration relationship with its region has been almost totally seen as a source of skilled s ....Circular Migration in Asia, the Pacific and Australia: Empirical, Theoretical and Policy Dimensions. Few issues have been more significant in contemporary Australia than international migration. It is of fundamental importance to Australia's future as it faces the global economic downturn, ageing, climate change and an ever-changing relationship with its Asia-Pacific neighbours. In the past Australia's migration relationship with its region has been almost totally seen as a source of skilled settlers. However this relationship is increasingly a more complex one. Migration will continue to be fundamental to the nation's economy, society and security and this study seeks to provide an evidence base for better policy and practice in immigration and development.Read moreRead less