Time consistency, risk-mitigation and partially observable systems. This project aims to find optimal decision rules that mitigate risk in a time consistent manner for partially observable systems. Many problems in conservation management and engineering systems are dependent on random environments and entail risk of failure. The challenge of consistently minimising such a risk while achieving satisfactory and sustainable resource consumption is considerable. This project aims to develop analyti ....Time consistency, risk-mitigation and partially observable systems. This project aims to find optimal decision rules that mitigate risk in a time consistent manner for partially observable systems. Many problems in conservation management and engineering systems are dependent on random environments and entail risk of failure. The challenge of consistently minimising such a risk while achieving satisfactory and sustainable resource consumption is considerable. This project aims to develop analytical and numerical methods for optimal control in such scenarios. These methods will have application to fishery management, communication networks, power systems and social resource allocation scenarios.Read moreRead less
Mathematical modelling of information flow in social networks. This proposal aims to develop new mathematical and statistical methods to understand information flow in social networks. By using novel information theoretic techniques, it will create new methods to characterise social information flow in social networks. These tools will allow derivation of fundamental limits of predictability for AI methods applied to digital data. New mathematics of information flow will produce insights into so ....Mathematical modelling of information flow in social networks. This proposal aims to develop new mathematical and statistical methods to understand information flow in social networks. By using novel information theoretic techniques, it will create new methods to characterise social information flow in social networks. These tools will allow derivation of fundamental limits of predictability for AI methods applied to digital data. New mathematics of information flow will produce insights into social influence in online social networks. Benefits include: better understanding of how echo chambers may form in social networks, predictive models for how misinformation can spread online such as during an emergency, and a framework for intercomparison of AI methods applied to digital data on individuals. Read moreRead less
Large Markov decision processes and combinatorial optimisation. Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modelling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queueing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend to become numerically intractable as the size of the model grows fast. Recent works use machine learning techniques to overcome this crucial issue, but with no convergence guarantee. This project ....Large Markov decision processes and combinatorial optimisation. Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modelling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queueing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend to become numerically intractable as the size of the model grows fast. Recent works use machine learning techniques to overcome this crucial issue, but with no convergence guarantee. This project aims to provide theoretically sound frameworks for solving large Markov decision processes, and exploit them to solve important combinatorial optimisation problems. This timely project can promote Australia's position in the development of such novel frameworks for many scientific and industrial applications.Read moreRead less
Large scale nonsmooth, nonconvex optimisation. This project aims to develop, analyse, test and apply (sub) gradient-based methods for solving large scale nonsmooth, nonconvex optimisation problems. Large scale problems with complex nonconvex objective and/or constraint functions are among the most difficult in optimisation. This project will generate new knowledge in numerical optimisation and machine learning. The use of structures and sparsity of large scale problems will lead to the developme ....Large scale nonsmooth, nonconvex optimisation. This project aims to develop, analyse, test and apply (sub) gradient-based methods for solving large scale nonsmooth, nonconvex optimisation problems. Large scale problems with complex nonconvex objective and/or constraint functions are among the most difficult in optimisation. This project will generate new knowledge in numerical optimisation and machine learning. The use of structures and sparsity of large scale problems will lead to the development of better models, and more accurate and robust methods. The expected outcomes of the project are ready-to-implement and apply numerical methods for solving large-scale, nonsmooth, nonconvex optimisation problems, as well as problems in machine learning and regression analysis.Read moreRead less
Optimising progress towards elimination of malaria. The project aims to advance mathematical knowledge by developing novel tools appropriate for modelling disease elimination. We will apply these new mathematical tools to the significant problem of malaria elimination in Vietnam. The expected outcomes are new tools for modelling disease elimination on a fine spatial resolution with heterogeneities in individual patient characteristics, calibrating models to household level data on disease transm ....Optimising progress towards elimination of malaria. The project aims to advance mathematical knowledge by developing novel tools appropriate for modelling disease elimination. We will apply these new mathematical tools to the significant problem of malaria elimination in Vietnam. The expected outcomes are new tools for modelling disease elimination on a fine spatial resolution with heterogeneities in individual patient characteristics, calibrating models to household level data on disease transmission and designing intervention strategies for maximum effect on disease transmission. The innovative combination of modelling, inference and optimisation ensures that the mathematical methods developed will be broadly applicable to modelling elimination strategies for other infectious diseases.
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Data-Driven Multistage Robust Optimization—the New Frontier in Optimization. Robust optimisation is a powerful technology for decision-making in uncertain environments. Yet, developing numerically certifiable optimisation principles and data-driven methods that can be readily implemented by common computer algorithms remains an elusive goal for multistage robust optimisation. But it is crucial for the practical use of multistage optimisation. This project aims to develop this novel mathematical ....Data-Driven Multistage Robust Optimization—the New Frontier in Optimization. Robust optimisation is a powerful technology for decision-making in uncertain environments. Yet, developing numerically certifiable optimisation principles and data-driven methods that can be readily implemented by common computer algorithms remains an elusive goal for multistage robust optimisation. But it is crucial for the practical use of multistage optimisation. This project aims to develop this novel mathematical theory and methods by extending the investigators' recent award winning advances, including the von Neumann-prizewinning Lasserre-hierarchy approach. Results will provide a foundation and technologies for making superior decisions in the pervasive presence of big data uncertainty, enhancing data-driven innovation in AustraliaRead moreRead less