A new theoretical approach to pension fund economics, asset management and insurance. A new generation of sustainable pensions will be proposed, which can, in the long term, increase several times the level of pension payouts. The groundbreaking underlying theoretical approach suggests a paradigm shift and dramatic improvements in the performance of pensions and other long dated contracts in asset management and insurance.
Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavour ....Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavours to establish progressive approaches (using extreme value theory) to the challenges faced by insurance in such a catastrophic environment. They will enhance the financial stability and competitivity of the Australian economy, and further establish its global leadership in dealing with climate changes and catastrophes.Read moreRead less
Understanding and overcoming confusion in consumer financial decisions. This project aims to develop consumer-centred approaches to reducing the harmful effects of confusion in financial decisions by studying superannuation investment and home loan decisions where confused choices are individually and collectively costly. The project intends to develop comprehensive models to capture the full complexity of financial products and the diverse preferences and capability of consumers, then to use ad ....Understanding and overcoming confusion in consumer financial decisions. This project aims to develop consumer-centred approaches to reducing the harmful effects of confusion in financial decisions by studying superannuation investment and home loan decisions where confused choices are individually and collectively costly. The project intends to develop comprehensive models to capture the full complexity of financial products and the diverse preferences and capability of consumers, then to use advanced statistical methods to estimate the benefits of clearer decision-making. The outcomes of this project includes new models of complex financial decisions, and a better understanding of where confusion arises and the effects it may have. Decreased confusion will raise financial well-being and help communities become more resilient to financial shocks.Read moreRead less
Do wealth creating mergers and acquisitions really hurt acquirer shareholders? The purpose of this project is to investigate the benefit to the community of acquisitions, especially when the stock price of the acquirer falls on the announcement. This project is likely to show that acquiring shareholders still gain substantially in these circumstances. The outcome will be fewer failed bids with better regulatory outcomes.
Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk prem ....Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk premium. The project will benefit insurers and regulators by providing a forward-looking approach to monitoring and assessing insurance risk during a systemic crisis. These important original contributions to insurance risk management will help establish Australia’s global leadership in systemic risk.Read moreRead less
The effect of bans on short selling: a comprehensive study. Although the 2008 financial crisis has greatly impeded the global economy, it has provided a rare opportunity for researchers to verify the truthfulness of some assumptions made on financial markets that are running without liquidity problems. This project will develop a new option pricing theory suitable for financial markets under some short-selling restrictions. Through exploring, from both empirical and theoretical points of view, h ....The effect of bans on short selling: a comprehensive study. Although the 2008 financial crisis has greatly impeded the global economy, it has provided a rare opportunity for researchers to verify the truthfulness of some assumptions made on financial markets that are running without liquidity problems. This project will develop a new option pricing theory suitable for financial markets under some short-selling restrictions. Through exploring, from both empirical and theoretical points of view, how short-selling bans will affect some important assumptions made in conventional option pricing theory, the newly developed option pricing framework should not only assist in trading options, but also assist market regulators to effectively use bans on short selling to stabilise financial markets.Read moreRead less
Liquidity in financial markets. This project aims to develop a theory which models the effect of liquidity on option prices under different market conditions. Economic or financial crises are inevitable and affect economics. During or after a major financial crisis, market liquidity usually becomes risky and needs to be studied. Through both empirical and theoretical explorations, this project will quantify and measure liquidity risk and its effect on the options markets. It will develop a frame ....Liquidity in financial markets. This project aims to develop a theory which models the effect of liquidity on option prices under different market conditions. Economic or financial crises are inevitable and affect economics. During or after a major financial crisis, market liquidity usually becomes risky and needs to be studied. Through both empirical and theoretical explorations, this project will quantify and measure liquidity risk and its effect on the options markets. It will develop a framework to help market regulators manage illiquidity, enhance the efficiency of option trading in illiquid markets and help in the detection of market manipulation.Read moreRead less
Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new ....Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new statistical control charts for security monitoring of epidemics, networks intrusions and other potentially dangerous changes. The research will also give Australia a competitive advantage in the area of education related to stochastic processes, mathematical finance, control theory and their applications.Read moreRead less
Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retireme ....Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retirement income scenarios for easing fiscal pressure from social initiatives such as age pension and aged care financing at the same time improving living standards for seniors. The project expects to place Australia at the forefront of research on sustainable solutions to financial challenges facing retirees.Read moreRead less
Retirement income product innovation. This project aims to develop and assess comprehensive retirement income products to support sustainable retirement income streams for the Australian superannuation system. It will provide a framework to develop flexible structured retirement income products, taking into account the fair and effective allocation of costs and risks. Actuarial and financial analysis will highlight savings in Age Pension and aged care costs arising from more effective design of ....Retirement income product innovation. This project aims to develop and assess comprehensive retirement income products to support sustainable retirement income streams for the Australian superannuation system. It will provide a framework to develop flexible structured retirement income products, taking into account the fair and effective allocation of costs and risks. Actuarial and financial analysis will highlight savings in Age Pension and aged care costs arising from more effective design of retirement income products incorporating investment and longevity risk. It intends to develop risk sharing retirement products, risk management strategies, and longevity index-based hedging contracts to share and mitigate financial and longevity risk.Read moreRead less