Bayesian Inference for Flexible Parametric Multivariate Econometric Modelling. The anticipated outcomes include the development of enhanced multivariate econometric models and innovative computationally intensive methods for their estimation. These models are used in numerous and diverse applications which are data-intensive and where more complete models will greatly enhance data-based decision-making. Results include improved information use in the wholesale electricity markets, in financial m ....Bayesian Inference for Flexible Parametric Multivariate Econometric Modelling. The anticipated outcomes include the development of enhanced multivariate econometric models and innovative computationally intensive methods for their estimation. These models are used in numerous and diverse applications which are data-intensive and where more complete models will greatly enhance data-based decision-making. Results include improved information use in the wholesale electricity markets, in financial market investment decision-making and for the assessment of the impact of internet advertising.Read moreRead less
Mathematical measurement and modelling of neuronal degeneration. Currently about 150,000 Australian's suffer from cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's disease or dementia and this number is expected to double over the next few decades. By combining newly developed mathematical methods in complex systems with sophisticated neural imaging we will develop new techniques to advance the diagnosis and treatment of cognitive decline in normal ageing and neurodegenerative disease.
This project will ....Mathematical measurement and modelling of neuronal degeneration. Currently about 150,000 Australian's suffer from cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's disease or dementia and this number is expected to double over the next few decades. By combining newly developed mathematical methods in complex systems with sophisticated neural imaging we will develop new techniques to advance the diagnosis and treatment of cognitive decline in normal ageing and neurodegenerative disease.
This project will also maintain the collaborative link between researchers in Biomathematics at Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York and researchers in Applied Mathematics at UNSW that enables training of Australian scientists in the vital area of mathematical bio-complexity.Read moreRead less
Can an anti-HIV gene in blood stem cells protect from immune depletion by HIV? Approximately 15,000 individuals in Australia are currently HIV infected. Gene therapy has the capacity to remove antiretroviral treatment related issues, dramatically decrease treatment costs and simplify treatment of HIV.
In this study we will model a new approach to treat HIV in which the patient's own cells are used as the therapy by incorporating an anti-HIV gene. These cells are then re-introduced into the p ....Can an anti-HIV gene in blood stem cells protect from immune depletion by HIV? Approximately 15,000 individuals in Australia are currently HIV infected. Gene therapy has the capacity to remove antiretroviral treatment related issues, dramatically decrease treatment costs and simplify treatment of HIV.
In this study we will model a new approach to treat HIV in which the patient's own cells are used as the therapy by incorporating an anti-HIV gene. These cells are then re-introduced into the patient.
The strong mathematical focus of this project, and its application to a promising approach against HIV, will place Australia at the forefront of the mathematics of gene research and contribute to the National Priority Area of Promoting and Maintaining Good Health and the Priority Goal of Preventative Healthcare.
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Diffusion driven pattern formation and signal propagation in spatially complex excitable media. A basic understanding of the mechanisms for pattern formation, from the spots on leopards to electrical signalling of neurons, has been achieved through reaction-diffusion equations. However to obtain a complete understanding, which is vital for many applications, it is necessary to modify this mathematical model to incorporate spatial complexities in the underlying media. This project will develop ....Diffusion driven pattern formation and signal propagation in spatially complex excitable media. A basic understanding of the mechanisms for pattern formation, from the spots on leopards to electrical signalling of neurons, has been achieved through reaction-diffusion equations. However to obtain a complete understanding, which is vital for many applications, it is necessary to modify this mathematical model to incorporate spatial complexities in the underlying media. This project will develop a fractional calculus framework for pattern formation, including signal propagation, in spatially complex and excitable media. In a particular application we will model the way in which the signalling properties of neurons depend critically on their spatial complexity.Read moreRead less
New mathematics of fractional diffusion for understanding cognitive impairment at the neuronal level. As Australia's population ages, cognitive impairment due to cortical ageing and neurodegeneration is looming as the nation's greatest health problem. The project will deliver new, more realistic, mathematical models for a mechanistic understanding of cognitive impairment at the neuronal level. This understanding is a vital first step in targeting drugs, e.g., to influence neuronal spine proper ....New mathematics of fractional diffusion for understanding cognitive impairment at the neuronal level. As Australia's population ages, cognitive impairment due to cortical ageing and neurodegeneration is looming as the nation's greatest health problem. The project will deliver new, more realistic, mathematical models for a mechanistic understanding of cognitive impairment at the neuronal level. This understanding is a vital first step in targeting drugs, e.g., to influence neuronal spine properties, for preventative health care. The project will maintain international collaborations, between applied mathematicians at UNSW, Sydney and biomathematicians and neuroscientists at Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, providing ongoing training opportunities for Australian scientists in this cutting edge biomathematical research.Read moreRead less
Quantitative dynamics of functional magnetic resonance imaging. By modeling and verifying the dynamics of brain activity and blood flow that underlie functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), this project will yield improved scientific outcomes and imaging sensitivity. The new data analysis techniques and technologies that result will yield potentially patentable intellectual property, and will increase the standing of Australia in this rapidly developing field, including via links being bu ....Quantitative dynamics of functional magnetic resonance imaging. By modeling and verifying the dynamics of brain activity and blood flow that underlie functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), this project will yield improved scientific outcomes and imaging sensitivity. The new data analysis techniques and technologies that result will yield potentially patentable intellectual property, and will increase the standing of Australia in this rapidly developing field, including via links being built to leading international workers. The National Research Priority Goals of Frontier Technologies, Breakthrough Science, Smart Information Use, and Promoting an Innovation Economy will thus be advanced.Read moreRead less
Decision-making in social insects and nature-inspired optimisation algorithms. Insect societies are ideal for the study of complex systems. Contrary to other complex systems, insect colonies can be modified without destroying the system. Computer scientists have found a source of inspiration in the behaviour of social insects for solving optimisation problems. Here we will study the influence of information flow on decision-making in real insect societies using:
1) Experiments aimed at investig ....Decision-making in social insects and nature-inspired optimisation algorithms. Insect societies are ideal for the study of complex systems. Contrary to other complex systems, insect colonies can be modified without destroying the system. Computer scientists have found a source of inspiration in the behaviour of social insects for solving optimisation problems. Here we will study the influence of information flow on decision-making in real insect societies using:
1) Experiments aimed at investigating how storage and transfer of information affects individual decision-making within a honey bee colony (University of Sydney)
2) Design of a new class of 'bee' algorithms that incorporate direct information transfer and are aimed at solving dynamic multicriterion optimisation problems (University of Leipzig).
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New Directions in Non-linear Mathematical Asymptotics. Major challenges such as predicting epidemics or modelling cancer rely on our understanding of simple mathematical models with extremely complicated solutions. The first and only model in the literature to reproduce the three-phase cycle of immune response in HIV/AIDS was based on cellular automata. Its results are extremely sensitive to infinitesimally small changes in parameters. Yet, no technique exists to study such variation in cellular ....New Directions in Non-linear Mathematical Asymptotics. Major challenges such as predicting epidemics or modelling cancer rely on our understanding of simple mathematical models with extremely complicated solutions. The first and only model in the literature to reproduce the three-phase cycle of immune response in HIV/AIDS was based on cellular automata. Its results are extremely sensitive to infinitesimally small changes in parameters. Yet, no technique exists to study such variation in cellular automata. This research will provide new methods for prediction and analysis of such models. Read moreRead less
Multivariate Algorithmics: Meeting the Challenge of Real World computational complexity. This Project will result in better methods for designing the algorithms that all computer applications depend on. Algorithms are the instruction sets that tell computers how to process information. Some information processing tasks are intrinsically difficult, even for computers working at enormous speeds. This Project will deliver new mathematical approaches to overcome these difficulties. More efficient al ....Multivariate Algorithmics: Meeting the Challenge of Real World computational complexity. This Project will result in better methods for designing the algorithms that all computer applications depend on. Algorithms are the instruction sets that tell computers how to process information. Some information processing tasks are intrinsically difficult, even for computers working at enormous speeds. This Project will deliver new mathematical approaches to overcome these difficulties. More efficient algorithmic approaches for difficult problems enable advances in all areas of computer applications such as medical diagnosis and health prediction, national security, communications efficiency, industrial productivity and all fields of science and engineering.Read moreRead less
Building flexible multivariate models and their application in Finance. The project will develop methods for analyzing the properties of dependent measurements that may evolve through time. The new methods will significantly improve on current best statistical practice and will be applied to important problems in the financial sector such as asset allocation and risk management. The financial sector is a vital part of the Australian economy and it is important to understand the joint behavior of ....Building flexible multivariate models and their application in Finance. The project will develop methods for analyzing the properties of dependent measurements that may evolve through time. The new methods will significantly improve on current best statistical practice and will be applied to important problems in the financial sector such as asset allocation and risk management. The financial sector is a vital part of the Australian economy and it is important to understand the joint behavior of financial assets in order to understand and allow for risk. The methods will have immediate application in other disciplines such as medicine, engineering and the environmental sciences. The project will train a postdoctoral student and three PhD students in cutting edge financial econometrics. Read moreRead less