Innovations in Enterprise Risk Management: Risk Aggregation, Dependence, and Efficiency. Enterprise risk management is of critical importance to the successful management of business corporations. The savings from the integrated measurement and management of risk at the enterprise level allowing for diversification in business activities is massive. The Australian insurance and actuarial science profession is highly regarded internationally. Innovative contributions to the rapidly developing are ....Innovations in Enterprise Risk Management: Risk Aggregation, Dependence, and Efficiency. Enterprise risk management is of critical importance to the successful management of business corporations. The savings from the integrated measurement and management of risk at the enterprise level allowing for diversification in business activities is massive. The Australian insurance and actuarial science profession is highly regarded internationally. Innovative contributions to the rapidly developing area of enterprise risk management will benefit Australia by maintaining its high profile at an international level in this newly emerging area. This will lead to increased demand at an international level for Australian graduate students and international research students wishing to study at Australian universities in these disciplines.Read moreRead less
Pricing, Solvency and Capital Management in Insurance: New Perspectives from the Integration of Actuarial and Financial Economic Theory. This project will investigate the optimal level of capital, pricing and solvency for an insurance company in an equilibrium framework. It will include research on the impact of extreme events and dependence of risks on fair pricing and efficient use of capital. Billions of dollars of capital are under management in insurance companies in Australia alone. The co ....Pricing, Solvency and Capital Management in Insurance: New Perspectives from the Integration of Actuarial and Financial Economic Theory. This project will investigate the optimal level of capital, pricing and solvency for an insurance company in an equilibrium framework. It will include research on the impact of extreme events and dependence of risks on fair pricing and efficient use of capital. Billions of dollars of capital are under management in insurance companies in Australia alone. The convergence of insurance and financial markets and the recently highlighted importance of events such as the World Trade Centre Disaster on September 11, requires that these issues be addressed in an integrated research program combining actuarial and financial economic theory. New insights and understandings of optimal levels and types of capital and impacts on pricing will result. This is critical to the successful management and regulation of insurance and other financial service organisations.Read moreRead less
Risk and Prudential Regulation and Supervision of Australian Financial Institutions. The project seeks to enhance the effectiveness of prudential regulation and supervision of financial institutions (FIs) by examining the risk of FIs, as reflected in default risk premiums on FI international debt issues and variability of revenue/profitability measures, and the effect of broadening FI activities and the shift towards fee/commission income on FI risk. This forms the basis for the development and ....Risk and Prudential Regulation and Supervision of Australian Financial Institutions. The project seeks to enhance the effectiveness of prudential regulation and supervision of financial institutions (FIs) by examining the risk of FIs, as reflected in default risk premiums on FI international debt issues and variability of revenue/profitability measures, and the effect of broadening FI activities and the shift towards fee/commission income on FI risk. This forms the basis for the development and testing of statistical early warning systems of impending financial problems in Australian FIs. The models are compared with examiner rating systems currently used in prudential supervision.Read moreRead less
Modelling claim dependencies for the general insurance industry with economic capital in view: an innovative approach with stochastic processes. This project will develop and enhance multi-dimensional models used to describe and assess the risks borne by general insurers. These innovative methods, which will be directly applicable by the industry, will strengthen the efficiency and the safety of the Australian economy.
Long-term care financing and policy: Insights from a pilot program in China. This project aims to advance global knowledge and policy development around long-term care (LTC) provision by undertaking a comprehensive assessment of alternative funding and provision mechanisms. Drawing on a unique pilot of LTC delivery in China, the project aims to estimate and assess LTC cost and usage, and link this with international experience to quantify the impacts of alternative policy structures. Through met ....Long-term care financing and policy: Insights from a pilot program in China. This project aims to advance global knowledge and policy development around long-term care (LTC) provision by undertaking a comprehensive assessment of alternative funding and provision mechanisms. Drawing on a unique pilot of LTC delivery in China, the project aims to estimate and assess LTC cost and usage, and link this with international experience to quantify the impacts of alternative policy structures. Through methodological advances designed to incorporate the real-time data made available under the pilot, this project aims to deliver significantly improved projections of LTC usage and costs that will be important to governments and the insurance industry, globally. Leveraging a strong partnership between Australian and Chinese researchers, it aims to provide the evidence base needed for policy and industry planning in China, and to advance global knowledge to deal with this challenge.Read moreRead less
A new theoretical approach to pension fund economics, asset management and insurance. A new generation of sustainable pensions will be proposed, which can, in the long term, increase several times the level of pension payouts. The groundbreaking underlying theoretical approach suggests a paradigm shift and dramatic improvements in the performance of pensions and other long dated contracts in asset management and insurance.
Rare Event Simulation with Heavy Tails. The project provides a rigorous way to enhance our understanding of the mechanisms that bring about catastrophic rare events such as urban flooding, electricity shortages and financial bankrupcy. Australia is at the forefront of exciting recent developments in rare event simulation. The advancement of the knowledge in this area will generate a competitive advantage for various sections of the Australian industry, including the areas of industrial reliabili ....Rare Event Simulation with Heavy Tails. The project provides a rigorous way to enhance our understanding of the mechanisms that bring about catastrophic rare events such as urban flooding, electricity shortages and financial bankrupcy. Australia is at the forefront of exciting recent developments in rare event simulation. The advancement of the knowledge in this area will generate a competitive advantage for various sections of the Australian industry, including the areas of industrial reliability, finance and insurance, were accurate simulation techniques are becoming increasingly important.Read moreRead less
Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new ....Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new statistical control charts for security monitoring of epidemics, networks intrusions and other potentially dangerous changes. The research will also give Australia a competitive advantage in the area of education related to stochastic processes, mathematical finance, control theory and their applications.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE180100649
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$363,996.00
Summary
Slow diffusion of information in asset pricing and risk management. This project aims to develop a unified investment and asset pricing theory for the slow diffusion of information in financial markets, such as momentum, reversal and post-earnings announcement drift. Expected outcomes of this project include the development of optimal methods to explore historical information, a systematic understanding of the impact of investor sentiment and heterogeneity on the speed of asset price response to ....Slow diffusion of information in asset pricing and risk management. This project aims to develop a unified investment and asset pricing theory for the slow diffusion of information in financial markets, such as momentum, reversal and post-earnings announcement drift. Expected outcomes of this project include the development of optimal methods to explore historical information, a systematic understanding of the impact of investor sentiment and heterogeneity on the speed of asset price response to news, and novel empirical hypotheses and tests that improve return predictability and reduce crash risks. The project will provide a potential competitive advantage and guidance to Australian investors, including superannuation fund managers, in competitive globalised financial markets.Read moreRead less
Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions ....Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions and estimate the errors involved. Applications include analysis of data in insurance, finance, flood prediction in hydrology.Read moreRead less