Noisy Parity Relationships in International Macroeconomic Models. Macroeconomic models of the Australian economy play a key role in the design of monetary and fiscal policy. Policymakers use these models either implicitly or explicitly, and usually begin to learn about them in principles courses. Parity relationships are foundation elements of these models, and have powerful implications for our understanding of macroeconomic dynamics. Classical statistical tests may have falsely led to an unhea ....Noisy Parity Relationships in International Macroeconomic Models. Macroeconomic models of the Australian economy play a key role in the design of monetary and fiscal policy. Policymakers use these models either implicitly or explicitly, and usually begin to learn about them in principles courses. Parity relationships are foundation elements of these models, and have powerful implications for our understanding of macroeconomic dynamics. Classical statistical tests may have falsely led to an unhealthy agnosticism regarding many of these relationships. This research will bring more appropriate statistical techniques to bear upon the problem, and if successful will restore confidence in decision-making processes and the relevance and applicability of macroeconomic models. Read moreRead less
Productivity, growth and unemployment in economies with frictions. This project aims to examine decisions driving productivity, growth, and unemployment in macroeconomies with frictions. It examines how government (fiscal, monetary, and education) policies determine these decisions, and identifies the best configurations of these policies. It will construct dynamic general equilibrium models of economies to analyse the causal structure behind productivity changes, growth and unemployment. It wil ....Productivity, growth and unemployment in economies with frictions. This project aims to examine decisions driving productivity, growth, and unemployment in macroeconomies with frictions. It examines how government (fiscal, monetary, and education) policies determine these decisions, and identifies the best configurations of these policies. It will construct dynamic general equilibrium models of economies to analyse the causal structure behind productivity changes, growth and unemployment. It will conduct quantitative experiments using simulations, to estimate optimal government policy design settings. This project expects to identify policies that promote productivity, growth and employment.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130100806
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$347,620.00
Summary
Human capital risk: implications for policy. The project examines how human capital investment decisions are affected by risk and policy actions that are taken to partially alleviate these risks. The quantitative analysis provides important insights which will enhance the debate on the merits of education subsidies and unemployment benefits program in the United States and Australia.
Banking System Competition and the Macro-economy. Australia has one of the most concentrated banking sectors in the world, generating concerns regarding its efficiency. This project aims to develop unified frameworks to understand and evaluate quantitatively how the structure of the banking industry affects the macro-economy and provide policy recommendations for establishing a healthy and efficient banking industry. This project expects to improve understanding of the welfare trade-off between ....Banking System Competition and the Macro-economy. Australia has one of the most concentrated banking sectors in the world, generating concerns regarding its efficiency. This project aims to develop unified frameworks to understand and evaluate quantitatively how the structure of the banking industry affects the macro-economy and provide policy recommendations for establishing a healthy and efficient banking industry. This project expects to improve understanding of the welfare trade-off between bank competition and economic well-being to enable policymakers to better determine the optimal concentration of banking sector in Australia. This will enhance the productivity and international competitiveness of Australia’s financial system and the broader economy.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE120102589
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$375,000.00
Summary
Monetary policy and models of money, credit and banking. This project develops models with money and credit following recent developments in monetary theory with microfoundations. The objectives of the project are to understand the fundamental functions of credit, how credit affects the aggregate economy, and how credit affects the transmission of monetary policy.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE190100800
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$371,000.00
Summary
Technological change: impacts on labour, capital and policy. This project aims to investigate how technological progress, its dissemination and heterogeneous adoption, shapes our economy and affects individual wellbeing. New technologies often complement certain workers, tasks or sectoral activities. This project will focus on the complementarities associated with a range of skills and age or experience of workers, and will model the dynamics and heterogeneous effects of technological changes. T ....Technological change: impacts on labour, capital and policy. This project aims to investigate how technological progress, its dissemination and heterogeneous adoption, shapes our economy and affects individual wellbeing. New technologies often complement certain workers, tasks or sectoral activities. This project will focus on the complementarities associated with a range of skills and age or experience of workers, and will model the dynamics and heterogeneous effects of technological changes. The proposed novel framework will incorporate multiple dimensions of skill and capital. Combining this framework with more than 50 years of data, the project will analyse the effects of technological change on wage structure and earnings distribution, individual decisions about time allocation and retirement.Read moreRead less
The Dynamics Shaping Underground Economic Behaviour. Tax evasion and the underground economy have recently become a topical issue in Australia. The underground economy is said to exist when a person either fails to declare cash earnings or overstates consumption expenditure in order to minimise their tax paying obligations. This current project will undertake the first international analysis of the behaviour of those participating in the underground economy and how these individuals respond to c ....The Dynamics Shaping Underground Economic Behaviour. Tax evasion and the underground economy have recently become a topical issue in Australia. The underground economy is said to exist when a person either fails to declare cash earnings or overstates consumption expenditure in order to minimise their tax paying obligations. This current project will undertake the first international analysis of the behaviour of those participating in the underground economy and how these individuals respond to changes in taxes and economic opportunities. The results will contribute to future decisions that may affect tax policy, tax audit programs and taxpayer compliance initiative strategies, particularly those affecting Australia. Read moreRead less
Strategic Contracting with Complementary Assets under Assymetric Information. With the recent tendency for companies to patent any feasible innovations they might make, public policy must focus on the disincentive effects this may have for producers who must combine multiple patents. The project seeks to understand the 'holdout problem' that stems from such situations, and evaluate policy solutions for Australia and Internationally. Expected outcomes include publication in leading Australian and ....Strategic Contracting with Complementary Assets under Assymetric Information. With the recent tendency for companies to patent any feasible innovations they might make, public policy must focus on the disincentive effects this may have for producers who must combine multiple patents. The project seeks to understand the 'holdout problem' that stems from such situations, and evaluate policy solutions for Australia and Internationally. Expected outcomes include publication in leading Australian and International journals, and inputs to the policy debate.Read moreRead less
The Labour Supply and Saving of Older Australians: Behavioural Responses and Economic Impact. This project aims to enhance our understanding of the economic impacts of labour force participation and saving behaviour of those in the retirement "window" (55-65 years), through econometric investigation, economy-wide modelling, and stochastic simulation. Such analysis is important because demographic transition is triggering volatile change in retirement related policies. Neither saving behaviour un ....The Labour Supply and Saving of Older Australians: Behavioural Responses and Economic Impact. This project aims to enhance our understanding of the economic impacts of labour force participation and saving behaviour of those in the retirement "window" (55-65 years), through econometric investigation, economy-wide modelling, and stochastic simulation. Such analysis is important because demographic transition is triggering volatile change in retirement related policies. Neither saving behaviour under a mandatory retirement saving regime nor labour supply in the retirement window is well understood. Aggregate labour supply and saving response to policy change have major implications for both government obligations and market efficiency. The outcomes of the project are thus expected to better inform policy formulation.Read moreRead less
The dynamics of job creation and job destruction in Australia. The Project focuses on the processes of job creation and destruction in Australia using sophisticated econometric modelling and an innovative mix of data sources. The research outcomes will deliver benefits in the improvement of labour market policy. Special focus will be on the impacts of structural change, trade liberalisation and the role of small business. The research will fill major gaps in the literature by providing new insig ....The dynamics of job creation and job destruction in Australia. The Project focuses on the processes of job creation and destruction in Australia using sophisticated econometric modelling and an innovative mix of data sources. The research outcomes will deliver benefits in the improvement of labour market policy. Special focus will be on the impacts of structural change, trade liberalisation and the role of small business. The research will fill major gaps in the literature by providing new insights into job creation and destruction processes and the consequences for unemployment, at levels of disaggregation and in sectors not previously studied, notably, full-time/part-time; public/private; the service sector; as well as demographic variability.Read moreRead less