Money, price and output dynamics: a segmented asset markets approach. This project studies the importance of asset market frictions and the cross-sectional composition of nominal spending across households for the monetary policy transmission mechanism (that is, for the channels by which monetary policy affects the broader macro-economy).
Modelling Income Distributions over Space and Time: 1985-2010. The aim of this project is to develop and use interpolation and extrapolation methods, designed to overcome data scarcity, to estimate annual income distributions for countries, regions and the world for the period 1985 to 2010, facilitating measurement and comparison of changes in inequality, per capita income, poverty, and pro-poor growth, at national, regional and global levels. Reliable estimates of these welfare measures provide ....Modelling Income Distributions over Space and Time: 1985-2010. The aim of this project is to develop and use interpolation and extrapolation methods, designed to overcome data scarcity, to estimate annual income distributions for countries, regions and the world for the period 1985 to 2010, facilitating measurement and comparison of changes in inequality, per capita income, poverty, and pro-poor growth, at national, regional and global levels. Reliable estimates of these welfare measures provide valuable information for policy advisors and other researchers interested in growth and welfare of society.Read moreRead less
Job vacancies in Australia. The objective of this project is to improve understanding of available measures of job vacancies in the Australian economy, and how those measures can be applied to study the operation of the labour market and in forecasting macroeconomic outcomes. It will increase knowledge about the appropriate use of alternative measures of vacancies, and how those measures have been affected by changes to methods of job search and hiring with the advent of the internet and labour ....Job vacancies in Australia. The objective of this project is to improve understanding of available measures of job vacancies in the Australian economy, and how those measures can be applied to study the operation of the labour market and in forecasting macroeconomic outcomes. It will increase knowledge about the appropriate use of alternative measures of vacancies, and how those measures have been affected by changes to methods of job search and hiring with the advent of the internet and labour hire agencies. The significance of the project derives from the important role of measures of vacancies in labour market and macroeconomic analysis in Australia.Read moreRead less
Worker Flows and Labour Market Policy in Australia. We propose to undertake a detailed analysis of flows in the Australian labour market. Monthly data on flows of males and females between four labour market states (employed full-time, employed part-time, unemployed and not in the labour force) over the period 1980 to 2003 will be analysed. The project will extend the theory of flows and it will use up-to-date time series econometric analysis coupled with theories of labour market behaviour to b ....Worker Flows and Labour Market Policy in Australia. We propose to undertake a detailed analysis of flows in the Australian labour market. Monthly data on flows of males and females between four labour market states (employed full-time, employed part-time, unemployed and not in the labour force) over the period 1980 to 2003 will be analysed. The project will extend the theory of flows and it will use up-to-date time series econometric analysis coupled with theories of labour market behaviour to build models of the flows. The aim is to better understand trend, cyclical, seasonal and policy influences on labour market flows and to reveal any structural changes which have occurred. This will provide more detail on the underlying causes of unemployment in Australia and especially the manner and the speed of response of males and females to changes in labour market policy and in economic conditions.Read moreRead less
Forecasting with single source of randomness state space models. The framework developed in this project, for identifying and
extrapolating trends, seasonal patterns and economic cycles in time
series, has a large and diverse range of useful applications in
Australia. Some examples include its potential use in the
development of appropriate monetary policy, its use to better inform
finance markets of risk levels associated with shares, its use to
forecast demand in supply chains to provide ....Forecasting with single source of randomness state space models. The framework developed in this project, for identifying and
extrapolating trends, seasonal patterns and economic cycles in time
series, has a large and diverse range of useful applications in
Australia. Some examples include its potential use in the
development of appropriate monetary policy, its use to better inform
finance markets of risk levels associated with shares, its use to
forecast demand in supply chains to provide a better service to
customers, and its use in call centres to better tailor staff
schedules to meet customer calls.Read moreRead less
Regional dimensions of the transition to a low carbon economy. This project's examination of the impacts of carbon-reduction policies in two vulnerable regions will identify the social, political, economic and cultural changes needed to promote the revitalisation of regional economies and communities.
Human Capital, Innovations and Economic Growth. This project examines the effects of human capital on economic growth and international knowledge spillovers and the social returns to schooling. Furthermore, the project investigates the role played by human capital and innovations in explaining why Australia has not been able to maintain its leading position in the world over the past 135 years. To that end human capital is estimated for the OECD countries. The project addresses Research Priority ....Human Capital, Innovations and Economic Growth. This project examines the effects of human capital on economic growth and international knowledge spillovers and the social returns to schooling. Furthermore, the project investigates the role played by human capital and innovations in explaining why Australia has not been able to maintain its leading position in the world over the past 135 years. To that end human capital is estimated for the OECD countries. The project addresses Research Priority 3 by examining the role played by education in promoting an innovative culture and enhancing the capacity to absorb world frontier technology. Read moreRead less
Growth and Inflation Dynamics: Measuring Steady-State Growth, Output Gaps and Inflationary Pressures using Survey Data in Australia and Other Advanced Economies. The aim of the project is to develop, for Australia and other advanced economies, new measures of 'potential production'. Such measures are important in the prediction of periods of recession and inflation, and in the formulation of macroeconomic policy. The proposal seeks to address the shortcomings of existing measures by (i) incorpor ....Growth and Inflation Dynamics: Measuring Steady-State Growth, Output Gaps and Inflationary Pressures using Survey Data in Australia and Other Advanced Economies. The aim of the project is to develop, for Australia and other advanced economies, new measures of 'potential production'. Such measures are important in the prediction of periods of recession and inflation, and in the formulation of macroeconomic policy. The proposal seeks to address the shortcomings of existing measures by (i) incorporating direct measures of expectations of future output and inflation from survey data, and (ii) being consistent with standard economic analysis. Forming best practice methods in the use of survey data in policy formation and in the production of economic forecasts will be a vital contribution of the project.Read moreRead less
Consumption Volatility and Financial Openness in the Developing World. The analysis performed in this project will shed some light on how financial openness affects consumption volatility in developing countries. The results of this project have direct relevance for the formulation of financial sector policies in developing countries as well as Australia, given its close association with the developing world. Designing appropriate financial sector policies helps promote financial stability, and ....Consumption Volatility and Financial Openness in the Developing World. The analysis performed in this project will shed some light on how financial openness affects consumption volatility in developing countries. The results of this project have direct relevance for the formulation of financial sector policies in developing countries as well as Australia, given its close association with the developing world. Designing appropriate financial sector policies helps promote financial stability, and this exerts a beneficial effect on economic growth. This is broadly in line with the Australian policy makers' objective of promoting growth and enhancing stability.Read moreRead less
State & territory economic performance and national economic policy. The research is intended to provide a better understanding of the relationship between national and state & territory economic behaviour in Australia and the relative strengths of common and idiosyncratic factors affecting economic performance across the states and territories. The results of the research will help to inform both national and sub-national economic policies and hence contribute to better economic and social outc ....State & territory economic performance and national economic policy. The research is intended to provide a better understanding of the relationship between national and state & territory economic behaviour in Australia and the relative strengths of common and idiosyncratic factors affecting economic performance across the states and territories. The results of the research will help to inform both national and sub-national economic policies and hence contribute to better economic and social outcomes in Australia.Read moreRead less