Nobody knows anything? Applying pari-mutuel prediction markets to the motion picture industry. This project will explore the predictability of unreleased motion pictures' theatrical box office revenues using incentive rich pari-mutuel prediction markets. The mechanism will promote price discovery and associated probability estimates that will benefit those already investing in the industry as well as encouraging new investment.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE160100999
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$295,020.00
Summary
Applying forward-backward stochastic differential equations to optimisation. This project intends to develop new ways to solve optimisation problems that are currently difficult to solve because of their complexity and size. In particular, forward–backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) are a new technique that is showing ways to solve problems for which there is yet to be a solution. This project's focus will be on problems that cannot use existing software because the decision-maki ....Applying forward-backward stochastic differential equations to optimisation. This project intends to develop new ways to solve optimisation problems that are currently difficult to solve because of their complexity and size. In particular, forward–backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) are a new technique that is showing ways to solve problems for which there is yet to be a solution. This project's focus will be on problems that cannot use existing software because the decision-making processes require intensive consideration of all possible outcomes in the modelled environment. In comparison to previous optimisation methods, the FBSDE approach is easier to work with and much more informative. The project's main potential applications are multiplayer games with mean-field interaction and financial markets with partial information.Read moreRead less
The economics of filial informal care: future trends and directions for policy supports. This project examines the family decision on informal care and living arrangements, it aims to make constructive policy suggestions in order to promote the healthy life of elderly people, support more productive and fulfilling lives of adult children with elderly parents and fortify supportive family structures.
Long-term care financing and policy: Insights from a pilot program in China. This project aims to advance global knowledge and policy development around long-term care (LTC) provision by undertaking a comprehensive assessment of alternative funding and provision mechanisms. Drawing on a unique pilot of LTC delivery in China, the project aims to estimate and assess LTC cost and usage, and link this with international experience to quantify the impacts of alternative policy structures. Through met ....Long-term care financing and policy: Insights from a pilot program in China. This project aims to advance global knowledge and policy development around long-term care (LTC) provision by undertaking a comprehensive assessment of alternative funding and provision mechanisms. Drawing on a unique pilot of LTC delivery in China, the project aims to estimate and assess LTC cost and usage, and link this with international experience to quantify the impacts of alternative policy structures. Through methodological advances designed to incorporate the real-time data made available under the pilot, this project aims to deliver significantly improved projections of LTC usage and costs that will be important to governments and the insurance industry, globally. Leveraging a strong partnership between Australian and Chinese researchers, it aims to provide the evidence base needed for policy and industry planning in China, and to advance global knowledge to deal with this challenge.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130101768
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$368,777.00
Summary
Bank regulation: the implications of interconnectedness and adaptive behaviour. People often use rules of thumb in deciding which actions to take. By modelling people in this way this project seeks to determine the effects that different forms of bank regulation have in determining the frequency and scale of banking crises.
Behavioural Econ & Field Experiments to Improve Plasma & Bone Marrow Supply. Plasma and bone marrow save and improve the quality of many lives. Yet Australia's domestic volunteer supply fails to meet Australia's needs even when supplemented by costly imports. This project involves a series of field experiments, based on behavioural economic theories, designed to understand charitable behaviour and how to motivate and increase plasma and bone marrow supply. The project aims to test the value of m ....Behavioural Econ & Field Experiments to Improve Plasma & Bone Marrow Supply. Plasma and bone marrow save and improve the quality of many lives. Yet Australia's domestic volunteer supply fails to meet Australia's needs even when supplemented by costly imports. This project involves a series of field experiments, based on behavioural economic theories, designed to understand charitable behaviour and how to motivate and increase plasma and bone marrow supply. The project aims to test the value of motivational factors, including commitment devices, reciprocity and altruism, to increasing donations. The project aims to advance scientific knowledge of people's motivation to perform substantial altruistic actions (in terms of both time and pain), to provide effective methods to increase donations that save lives and to improve national health.Read moreRead less
Improving payments for ecosystem services efficacy. This project aims to improve the cost-effectiveness of payments for ecosystem services (PES) programs in settings where deforestation risk is high. The project introduces a field experiment in Uganda in order to determine effective methods for monitoring compliance and setting payment levels. The project intends to examine whether program impacts are undermined by displacement of deforestation and if there are poverty reduction trade-offs inher ....Improving payments for ecosystem services efficacy. This project aims to improve the cost-effectiveness of payments for ecosystem services (PES) programs in settings where deforestation risk is high. The project introduces a field experiment in Uganda in order to determine effective methods for monitoring compliance and setting payment levels. The project intends to examine whether program impacts are undermined by displacement of deforestation and if there are poverty reduction trade-offs inherent in program design. The project expects to establish the costs of foregone production from land enrolled in the program, which are largely unknown. The findings will support efforts to create low cost technologies to solve conservation challenges and assist with the efficient allocation of scarce resources for environmental protection in both Australian and international contexts.Read moreRead less
Natural resources and ecosystem services in productivity measurement. This project aims to understand sources of productivity growth through addressing theoretical and practical problems in the economics of natural resources and ecosystem services. It will study the valuation of non-renewable resources and ecosystem services, acknowledging their contributions to economic activity and the effect on national income from their depletion and degradation. It will develop approaches to incorporating n ....Natural resources and ecosystem services in productivity measurement. This project aims to understand sources of productivity growth through addressing theoretical and practical problems in the economics of natural resources and ecosystem services. It will study the valuation of non-renewable resources and ecosystem services, acknowledging their contributions to economic activity and the effect on national income from their depletion and degradation. It will develop approaches to incorporating natural resource depletion and degradation into productivity analysis with the aim of better informing environmental, innovation and industry policy.Read moreRead less
Productivity Measurement, Drivers and Trends: A New Analytical Framework. Significant problems exist in the measurement of productivity and hence its understanding, impeding informed policy formulation. This project aims to advance new concepts and methods for productivity measurement that have the potential to improve policy and national welfare, with special attention to: productivity in the mining industry, which has been a particular problem for Australia; the increased holding of precaution ....Productivity Measurement, Drivers and Trends: A New Analytical Framework. Significant problems exist in the measurement of productivity and hence its understanding, impeding informed policy formulation. This project aims to advance new concepts and methods for productivity measurement that have the potential to improve policy and national welfare, with special attention to: productivity in the mining industry, which has been a particular problem for Australia; the increased holding of precautionary cash balances by firms during financial crises, representing underutilised resources; examination of firm productivity dynamics, without assuming the possibility of disappearing technology capability that is used in standard models; and a more realistic approach to capitalisation of research and development and other intangible investments.Read moreRead less
The Economic Measurement of Property Markets: Prices, Bubbles, Economic Growth and Productivity. In collaboration with property fund manager and investor CorVal, and with the participation of the industry leader in benchmarking, property research and metrics, IPD Australia and New Zealand, this project aims to examine the economic measurement of property markets. Mathematical and statistical models aim to be developed for exploiting a large quantity of data made available at aggregate (economy w ....The Economic Measurement of Property Markets: Prices, Bubbles, Economic Growth and Productivity. In collaboration with property fund manager and investor CorVal, and with the participation of the industry leader in benchmarking, property research and metrics, IPD Australia and New Zealand, this project aims to examine the economic measurement of property markets. Mathematical and statistical models aim to be developed for exploiting a large quantity of data made available at aggregate (economy wide) and disaggregate (local area government) levels. The findings aim to contribute to an improved understanding of property price bubbles, concepts of market disequilibrium, and the role of the property market as a source of economic growth and productivity.Read moreRead less