Evaluation of targeting rules for implementing monetary policy. Monetary policy plays a primary role in stabilising business cycle fluctuations and in mitigating the effects of large economic shocks. This research deals with key issues in the operation of monetary policy. Our econometric analysis will provide new evidence on the short term goals pursed by central banks and improve our understanding their trade-offs. One application of our results will be an improvement in the ability to measure ....Evaluation of targeting rules for implementing monetary policy. Monetary policy plays a primary role in stabilising business cycle fluctuations and in mitigating the effects of large economic shocks. This research deals with key issues in the operation of monetary policy. Our econometric analysis will provide new evidence on the short term goals pursed by central banks and improve our understanding their trade-offs. One application of our results will be an improvement in the ability to measure and evaluate the performance of central banks. Greater evidence on the objectives and constraints of central banks will increase public knowledge and understanding of monetary policy, leading to more effective policy. Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE120102589
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$375,000.00
Summary
Monetary policy and models of money, credit and banking. This project develops models with money and credit following recent developments in monetary theory with microfoundations. The objectives of the project are to understand the fundamental functions of credit, how credit affects the aggregate economy, and how credit affects the transmission of monetary policy.
Heuristic-based behavioural models with an application to macroeconomics. This project will develop behavioural micro-foundations for economic models with heterogeneous agents. In these models the interaction of decision rules used by agents leads to complex phenomena at the aggregate level, for example, the cycles of bubbles and crashes. The agents switch between decision rules on the basis of past performance. However, a broad range of specifications of the rules and switching mechanisms has l ....Heuristic-based behavioural models with an application to macroeconomics. This project will develop behavioural micro-foundations for economic models with heterogeneous agents. In these models the interaction of decision rules used by agents leads to complex phenomena at the aggregate level, for example, the cycles of bubbles and crashes. The agents switch between decision rules on the basis of past performance. However, a broad range of specifications of the rules and switching mechanisms has led to many degrees of freedom in modelling. In this project, laboratory experiments with paid human subjects will be used to discipline this modelling. The resulting models will improve macroeconomic and financial policy responses to volatile market conditions.Read moreRead less
Security in Retirement: Forecasting and Managing Macro Investment Risks. In his Boyer Lectures Ian Macfarlane, former RBA governor, observed that risks once borne by employers or governments are in the process of being transferred to households. Retirement incomes are a case in point. Not only do most households belong to accumulation funds which shift investment risks to members, but exposure to growth assets (equities and property) in the typical account is in the 60% - 70% range, even in the ....Security in Retirement: Forecasting and Managing Macro Investment Risks. In his Boyer Lectures Ian Macfarlane, former RBA governor, observed that risks once borne by employers or governments are in the process of being transferred to households. Retirement incomes are a case in point. Not only do most households belong to accumulation funds which shift investment risks to members, but exposure to growth assets (equities and property) in the typical account is in the 60% - 70% range, even in the case of retirees. Our project will focus on the forecasting and management of economy-wide risks, as distinct from the equity risks or credit risks attached to investments in particular companies.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130100806
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$347,620.00
Summary
Human capital risk: implications for policy. The project examines how human capital investment decisions are affected by risk and policy actions that are taken to partially alleviate these risks. The quantitative analysis provides important insights which will enhance the debate on the merits of education subsidies and unemployment benefits program in the United States and Australia.
An Integrated Approach to the Timing of Retirement: Life Cycle, Labour Force Heterogeneity, Financial Status and Public Support. This project will generate new knowledge on household decision making over retirement timing. National benefits will be generated through improved institutional design and policy formulation, which in turn will promote a labour market conducive to increased mature-age participation. The project involves collaboration across several institutions and will contribute to t ....An Integrated Approach to the Timing of Retirement: Life Cycle, Labour Force Heterogeneity, Financial Status and Public Support. This project will generate new knowledge on household decision making over retirement timing. National benefits will be generated through improved institutional design and policy formulation, which in turn will promote a labour market conducive to increased mature-age participation. The project involves collaboration across several institutions and will contribute to the development of research expertise through the training of PhDs and research assistants, creating a critical threshold of integrated research into ageing. This will facilitate a world-class presence in this important domain, thus contributing directly to the National Research Priority of Ageing Well, Ageing Productively.Read moreRead less
The Labour Supply and Saving of Older Australians: Behavioural Responses and Economic Impact. This project aims to enhance our understanding of the economic impacts of labour force participation and saving behaviour of those in the retirement "window" (55-65 years), through econometric investigation, economy-wide modelling, and stochastic simulation. Such analysis is important because demographic transition is triggering volatile change in retirement related policies. Neither saving behaviour un ....The Labour Supply and Saving of Older Australians: Behavioural Responses and Economic Impact. This project aims to enhance our understanding of the economic impacts of labour force participation and saving behaviour of those in the retirement "window" (55-65 years), through econometric investigation, economy-wide modelling, and stochastic simulation. Such analysis is important because demographic transition is triggering volatile change in retirement related policies. Neither saving behaviour under a mandatory retirement saving regime nor labour supply in the retirement window is well understood. Aggregate labour supply and saving response to policy change have major implications for both government obligations and market efficiency. The outcomes of the project are thus expected to better inform policy formulation.Read moreRead less
Risk Management for Bonds, Currencies and Commodities. Understanding maturity-structure policy is a neglected topic. It needs research before we can determine whether public debt policy should accommodate the emerging needs of self-funded retirees - for long-term debt, new issues of index bonds, and 'survivor' bonds. Planning for annuity-rate risk has lagged far behind the sales of complying pensions. Over 2003 the Australian dollar rose by 34 percent, revealing major deficiencies in the standar ....Risk Management for Bonds, Currencies and Commodities. Understanding maturity-structure policy is a neglected topic. It needs research before we can determine whether public debt policy should accommodate the emerging needs of self-funded retirees - for long-term debt, new issues of index bonds, and 'survivor' bonds. Planning for annuity-rate risk has lagged far behind the sales of complying pensions. Over 2003 the Australian dollar rose by 34 percent, revealing major deficiencies in the standard advice on managing currency risks to retirement incomes. Uninsured disruptions to electricity supply have been an issue (eg in California), and demonstrate a need for innovative financial instruments that cushion and spread the costs.Read moreRead less
The Theory and Measurement of Stock-Market Indices. This project should promote an innovation culture in Australia by
designing new benchmark indices for evaluating the performance of
fund managers (and other uses), thus encouraging the allocation of
funds to their most productive uses. It will produce a better
measure of asset price inflation than any currently in existence
which will be of use to the Reserve Bank in the setting of
monetary policy. This project will also enhance the reput ....The Theory and Measurement of Stock-Market Indices. This project should promote an innovation culture in Australia by
designing new benchmark indices for evaluating the performance of
fund managers (and other uses), thus encouraging the allocation of
funds to their most productive uses. It will produce a better
measure of asset price inflation than any currently in existence
which will be of use to the Reserve Bank in the setting of
monetary policy. This project will also enhance the reputation of
Australian universities as centres of cutting-edge academic
research, provide a thesis topic for a PhD student, and help build
links between the academic and private sectors.Read moreRead less
House Prices in Australia: A Hedonic Analysis. House prices are an important input to monetary policy since they impact directly on inflation and may be a source of speculative bubbles. The Governor of the Reserve Bank, however, recently described housing as the ``weakest link in all the price data.'' This project will attempt to resolve this problem. The resulting indexes should be of considerable interest to the Reserve Bank, the media, home owners, the real estate industry, and enhance the re ....House Prices in Australia: A Hedonic Analysis. House prices are an important input to monetary policy since they impact directly on inflation and may be a source of speculative bubbles. The Governor of the Reserve Bank, however, recently described housing as the ``weakest link in all the price data.'' This project will attempt to resolve this problem. The resulting indexes should be of considerable interest to the Reserve Bank, the media, home owners, the real estate industry, and enhance the reputation of Australian universities. They will also quantify the extent of the burden imposed on young people by rising house prices, and its consequent strain on society.Read moreRead less