Complex data, model selection and bootstrap inference. The project will provide new statistical methods and associated software for the analysis and modelling of complex data, as well as quality research training. This project will benefit researchers in statistics and users of statistics who encounter the complex data considered in this project and who need to model and make inferences from these data. Since these kinds of data arise in many areas (such as medicine, genetics, chemistry etc), ....Complex data, model selection and bootstrap inference. The project will provide new statistical methods and associated software for the analysis and modelling of complex data, as well as quality research training. This project will benefit researchers in statistics and users of statistics who encounter the complex data considered in this project and who need to model and make inferences from these data. Since these kinds of data arise in many areas (such as medicine, genetics, chemistry etc), Australia and Australian industry will ultimately benefit from the proposed research. The strengthening of international link and the training of highly trained research scientists in an area of national importance will also benefit Australia.Read moreRead less
Innovations in Bayesian likelihood-free inference. Bayesian inference is a statistical method of choice in applied science. This project will develop innovative tools which permit Bayesian inference in problems considered intractable only a few years ago. These methods will expedite advances in multidisciplinary research across a range of applications. With these foundations, this project will accelerate national research efforts into improving frameworks for projecting trends in water availabil ....Innovations in Bayesian likelihood-free inference. Bayesian inference is a statistical method of choice in applied science. This project will develop innovative tools which permit Bayesian inference in problems considered intractable only a few years ago. These methods will expedite advances in multidisciplinary research across a range of applications. With these foundations, this project will accelerate national research efforts into improving frameworks for projecting trends in water availability and management, the impact of climate extremes, telecommunications engineering, HIV and infectious disease modelling and biostatistics. With many sectors unable to recruit appropriately trained statisticians within Australia, this project will train four PhD students in Bayesian statistics.
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Modelling mean and dispersion using fixed and random effects. The aims of the project are to develop methods for joint mean and dispersion modelling using fixed and random effects, in the generalized linear models context and for Gaussian longitudinal data. The significance is the more efficient, precise and appropriate analysis of data arising from many areas of application. The expected outcomes are therefore better methods of analysis, software to carry the analyses out, and potentially impor ....Modelling mean and dispersion using fixed and random effects. The aims of the project are to develop methods for joint mean and dispersion modelling using fixed and random effects, in the generalized linear models context and for Gaussian longitudinal data. The significance is the more efficient, precise and appropriate analysis of data arising from many areas of application. The expected outcomes are therefore better methods of analysis, software to carry the analyses out, and potentially important results in applications.Read moreRead less
Bootstrap methods for data with multiple errors. This project will provide new methods for data analysis and quality research training. The results will benefit researchers in statistics and users of statistics who encounter data with multiple errors and who need to make inferences from these data. The many areas from which such data arise (including medicine, genetics, chemistry, education, social surveys etc) mean that Australia and Australian Industry will also ultimately benefit from the r ....Bootstrap methods for data with multiple errors. This project will provide new methods for data analysis and quality research training. The results will benefit researchers in statistics and users of statistics who encounter data with multiple errors and who need to make inferences from these data. The many areas from which such data arise (including medicine, genetics, chemistry, education, social surveys etc) mean that Australia and Australian Industry will also ultimately benefit from the research. The strengthening of international links and the training of highly trained researchers will also benefit the Australian community.Read moreRead less
Asymptotic Expansions and Large Deviations in Probability and Statistics: Theory and Applications. Statistics is the major enabling science in a number of disciplines. This is fundamental research in probability and statistics but it has wide applications in Biology and Social Sciences which will ultimately be of national benefit. The behaviour of self normalized sums is an exciting new area of fundamental research that has implications for the application of statistics in many areas. U-statist ....Asymptotic Expansions and Large Deviations in Probability and Statistics: Theory and Applications. Statistics is the major enabling science in a number of disciplines. This is fundamental research in probability and statistics but it has wide applications in Biology and Social Sciences which will ultimately be of national benefit. The behaviour of self normalized sums is an exciting new area of fundamental research that has implications for the application of statistics in many areas. U-statistics for dependent situations has direct application to understanding financial time series and the analysis of sample survey data. Saddlepoint methods provide extremely accurate approximations in a number of important applications.
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Empirical saddlepoint approximations and self-normalized limit theorems. Finite population sampling and resampling methods such as the bootstrap and randomization methods are central in a number of areas of application and M-estimates are the major method used to give robust methods under mild conditions; in both these areas statistics are used which are Studentized or self-normalized. We will develop asymptotic approaches for such statistics. Saddlepoint and empirical saddlepoint methods will ....Empirical saddlepoint approximations and self-normalized limit theorems. Finite population sampling and resampling methods such as the bootstrap and randomization methods are central in a number of areas of application and M-estimates are the major method used to give robust methods under mild conditions; in both these areas statistics are used which are Studentized or self-normalized. We will develop asymptotic approaches for such statistics. Saddlepoint and empirical saddlepoint methods will be used to give methods which have second order relative accuracy in large deviation regions and we will obtain limit results and Edgeworth approximations. Emphasis will be on obtaining results under weak conditions necessary for applications.Read moreRead less
Semiparametric Regression for Streaming Data. Semiparametric regression converts large and complex data-sets into interpretable summaries from which sound decisions can be made. This project tackles semiparametric regression analysis of streaming data - where the data are so voluminous that they may not be storable in standard computer memory and therefore need to be processed rapidly on arrival and then discarded. Effective solutions necessitate a rethinking of semi-parametric regression and ne ....Semiparametric Regression for Streaming Data. Semiparametric regression converts large and complex data-sets into interpretable summaries from which sound decisions can be made. This project tackles semiparametric regression analysis of streaming data - where the data are so voluminous that they may not be storable in standard computer memory and therefore need to be processed rapidly on arrival and then discarded. Effective solutions necessitate a rethinking of semi-parametric regression and new approaches will be developed. The project will also develop novel theory and methodology for robotics applications. It will allow analysis of streaming and massive data sets that would not be possible using currently available methods, opening up new applications.Read moreRead less
Fast approximate inference methods: new algorithms, applications and theory. This project aims to develop new algorithms and theory for fast approximate inference and lay down infrastructure to aid future extensions. Fast approximate inference methods are a principled and extensible means of fitting large and complex statistical models to big data sets. They come into their own in applications where speed is paramount and traditional approaches are not feasible. The project aims to lead to prac ....Fast approximate inference methods: new algorithms, applications and theory. This project aims to develop new algorithms and theory for fast approximate inference and lay down infrastructure to aid future extensions. Fast approximate inference methods are a principled and extensible means of fitting large and complex statistical models to big data sets. They come into their own in applications where speed is paramount and traditional approaches are not feasible. The project aims to lead to practical outcomes from better business decision-making for insurance data warehouses, to improved medical imaging technology.Read moreRead less
Advances in Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Complex Bayesian Models. This project aims to develop efficient statistical algorithms for parameter estimation of complex stochastic models that currently cannot be handled. Parameter estimation is an essential component of mathematical modelling for answering scientific questions and revealing new insights. Current parameter estimation methods can be inefficient and require too much user intervention. This project will develop novel Bayesian alg ....Advances in Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Complex Bayesian Models. This project aims to develop efficient statistical algorithms for parameter estimation of complex stochastic models that currently cannot be handled. Parameter estimation is an essential component of mathematical modelling for answering scientific questions and revealing new insights. Current parameter estimation methods can be inefficient and require too much user intervention. This project will develop novel Bayesian algorithms that are optimally automated and efficient by exploiting ever-improving parallel computing devices. The new methods will allow practitioners to process realistic models, enabling new scientific discoveries in a wide range of disciplines such as biology, ecology, agriculture, hydrology and finance.Read moreRead less
New Bayesian methodology for understanding complex systems using hidden Markov models and expert opinion, environmental, robotics and genomics applications. This project aims to merge four areas of intense international interest in describing complex systems: hidden Markov models and mixtures, semi-parametric and nonparametric approaches, true combination of expert opinion with data, and new Bayesian computational methods based on perfect sampling and particle sampling. The project will signific ....New Bayesian methodology for understanding complex systems using hidden Markov models and expert opinion, environmental, robotics and genomics applications. This project aims to merge four areas of intense international interest in describing complex systems: hidden Markov models and mixtures, semi-parametric and nonparametric approaches, true combination of expert opinion with data, and new Bayesian computational methods based on perfect sampling and particle sampling. The project will significantly contribute to statistical methodology and its ability to inform about real-world problems. A strong focus on applications to genomics, robotics and environmental modelling will bring immediate research and monetary benefit for industry. Expected outcomes include enhanced cross-disciplinary and international linkages, publications, industry-funded projects and highly trained graduates.Read moreRead less