Strategic Thought and Prediction in Strategic Environments. Game theory is now an integral tool for economics and business. It helps predict behavior in strategic environments and thus answers important questions: What form of auction to use in the pending sale of 3G spectrum? How should the government sell its bonds? How to detect implict collusion among companies? What division of benefits of joint research ventures will attract maximum participation?
This project aims to greatly increas ....Strategic Thought and Prediction in Strategic Environments. Game theory is now an integral tool for economics and business. It helps predict behavior in strategic environments and thus answers important questions: What form of auction to use in the pending sale of 3G spectrum? How should the government sell its bonds? How to detect implict collusion among companies? What division of benefits of joint research ventures will attract maximum participation?
This project aims to greatly increase the predictive power of game theory and provide decisive answers to questions such as above. This is achieved by developing a theory that relates individuals' current behavior to their experiences in analogous environments in the past.
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Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE170101183
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$322,404.00
Summary
Information sharing in networks and the allocation of medical appointments. The project aims to research social networks and the normative allocation of invisible goods. It will study information sharing in social networks and the allocation of consultant led appointments to patients. This project is intended to benefit society, public policy and health by showing how social networks’ design options affect users’ welfare and the network owner’s revenue.
Massively parallel algorithms for Bayesian inference and decision making. This project uses the graphical processing units of desktop computers, originally developed for games and video, to enhance substantially the quantitative tools used on a daily basis by economists. It will develop procedures and software to enhance the reliability of economic predictions and policy.
Economics of continuous-time financial markets and endogenous pricing. This research has the potential to benefit society by improving the accuracy of pricing in securities markets. First, because the research leads to specific predictions about the interaction of prices for different type of assets, it should lead to more accurate pricing across markets, such as housing, stocks and bonds, which currently function largely independently. Second, it should lead to more accurate pricing of derivati ....Economics of continuous-time financial markets and endogenous pricing. This research has the potential to benefit society by improving the accuracy of pricing in securities markets. First, because the research leads to specific predictions about the interaction of prices for different type of assets, it should lead to more accurate pricing across markets, such as housing, stocks and bonds, which currently function largely independently. Second, it should lead to more accurate pricing of derivatives in the situations where the exercise price of the derivatives differs significantly from the current price of the underlying stock.Read moreRead less
Economics of Incomplete Markets and Pricing in Equilibrium. This research has the potential to benefit society by improving the accurary of pricing in securities markets. First, because the research leads to specific predictions about the interaction of prices for different type of assets, it should lead to more accurate pricing across markets, such as housing, stocks and bonds, which currently function largely independentlty. Second, it should lead to more accurate pricing of derivatives in the ....Economics of Incomplete Markets and Pricing in Equilibrium. This research has the potential to benefit society by improving the accurary of pricing in securities markets. First, because the research leads to specific predictions about the interaction of prices for different type of assets, it should lead to more accurate pricing across markets, such as housing, stocks and bonds, which currently function largely independentlty. Second, it should lead to more accurate pricing of derivatives in the situations where the execise price of the derivatives differs significantly from the current price of the underlying stock.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE120102640
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$375,000.00
Summary
Behavioural foundations of economic design for an uncertain world. The aim of this project is to incorporate behavioural foundations into mechanism design to improve our understanding of economic institutions in incomplete information environments. To accomplish this goal, it considers a framework where agents have reference-dependent preferences and explores implications of this assumption for economic design.
Inductive game theory: experiential knowledge, interactions, and limited inferences in social contexts. This research project stresses the importance of limited experiences and limited inferential abilities for explaining differences observed across individuals and groups in society. The project will use inductive game theory to attack problems and conflicts between individuals and groups based on such limitations.
'Fixed points': extending and deepening our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. This work will extend and deepen our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. It will produce computer code embodying new methods of solving systems of nonlinear equations, which is useful in many areas of applied research in economics, in other disciplines such as chemistry, and potentially in the analysis of business operations. The project will a ....'Fixed points': extending and deepening our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. This work will extend and deepen our understanding of mathematical and computational aspects of game theory. It will produce computer code embodying new methods of solving systems of nonlinear equations, which is useful in many areas of applied research in economics, in other disciplines such as chemistry, and potentially in the analysis of business operations. The project will also deepen our understanding of the underlying mathematics of such systems, and of other mathematical foundations of economic research. One application will be a new measure of the relative power resulting from voting rules. Such measures assist the design of democratic institutions by allowing the designer to assess the fairness of the outcomes they produce.Read moreRead less
General market equilibrium analysis of securitisable assets in the presence of private information, when contracts are incomplete. Three key markets (among others) were involved in the gestation of the worst financial crisis seen since the great depression: the market for mortgages and the market for securities, backed by mortgages and housing market. The focus of this project is to examine financial fragility in such markets, theoretically applying outcomes to Australian policy.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130101768
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$368,777.00
Summary
Bank regulation: the implications of interconnectedness and adaptive behaviour. People often use rules of thumb in deciding which actions to take. By modelling people in this way this project seeks to determine the effects that different forms of bank regulation have in determining the frequency and scale of banking crises.